China Economy

What makes the world's second largest economy tick
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Background explainers, news and analysis on China’s economy, including its opening up, the US-China trade war, the impact of tariffs and trade talks, growth rates and other key economic data, the Belt and Road Initiative, and Greater Bay Area plan.

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Services sector and overseas demand for exports may have buoyed first-quarter GDP, but daunting challenges remain for country on path to recovery.
The flow of domestic migrants is increasingly moving in the direction of the Greater Bay Area, the Yangtze River Delta and a handful of local economic hubs.
SCMP ColumnistZhou Xin
1
As global supply chains are reshaped, countries such as Vietnam and Mexico are becoming attractive manufacturing hubs. Chinese-backed factories in the US might face resistance, but the job growth and knowledge transfer they bring will benefit the American economy.
3
While China’s downturn tops the list of risks in developing economies, less attention is paid to the difficulties in sustaining India’s boom. Yet India’s weaknesses, such as a low labour participation rate, a lack of jobs and a large fiscal deficit, should not be overlooked.
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Beijing sees US criticism of overcapacity as an excuse for Washington to ratchet up protectionist measures against Chinese-made products.
SCMP ColumnistZhou Xin
12
The US, Europe and Japan will not gladly sacrifice their IMF quotas to give China and others more voting rights. But a failure to reform the organisation will worsen rifts and weaken its ability to deal with looming global crises.
3
UN Tourism forecasts a full recovery this year but the data is skewed by the robust recovery in Europe; across Asia, arrivals remain well below 2019 levels.
Just as the Sevens rugby tournament, with its changed format, draws crowds, so Hong Kong is drawing investors again with a more mainland-led economy.
1
March PMI reveals country’s manufacturing activity expanded at the fastest pace in over a year, as more industries show increased confidence.
Chna’s youth are facing the ‘four curses’ and only more economic liberlaisation can banish this threat to the country’s future.
SCMP ColumnistZhou Xin
5
Investors banking on Chinese policymakers providing aggressive stimulus are trapped in an old view of China and its economy. The news is far from all doom and gloom, but investors need to accept that China’s economy will remain vulnerable and recovery will take time.
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When the world’s biggest economies are in the doldrums and their governments are at loggerheads, we are all much worse off.
SCMP ColumnistAlex Lo
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