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Golden Sixty and Vincent Ho win the 2023 Hong Kong Gold Cup at the Sha Tin Race Course in Hong Kong on February 26 last year. Photo: Handout from Hong Kong Jockey Club
Opinion
Outside In
by David Dodwell
Outside In
by David Dodwell

How Hong Kong is bucking the trend of a horse racing downturn

  • Innovation has allowed the Jockey Club to remain competitive and retain the glamour of the sport, despite three terrible pandemic years and the decline in horse racing betting globally
  • If Financial Secretary Paul Chan wants to contradict Hong Kong’s naysayers and show our world-leading innovative capabilities, he could invite them to the races

Once known worldwide as the sport of kings, horse racing has seen rough times – except in Hong Kong perhaps, where Happy Valley still lives up to its name despite the adversities of the past three years.

Most recent is the shock news that Macau’s only horse racing course on Taipa is to close on April 1 after more than 40 years. The government says horse racing “failed to generate the economic and social benefits [it] should bring”. The course has been losing money every year, with the Macau Horse Racing Company reporting an accumulated deficit of more than 2.5 billion patacas (US$310 million).
In Singapore, the Kranji course will see its last race, the 100th Grand Singapore Gold Cup, on October 5 – bringing horse racing in Singapore to an end after more than 180 years. The land is to be used for housing and recreation. Sydney’s Rosehill course, home to horse racing since 1885, is also facing closure and likely to be replaced by 25,000 houses and a metro station.

In the United States, over 40 tracks have closed since 2000. From 83,000 in its heyday, races in North America have fallen to 37,700 in 2022. The Thoroughbred Daily News reported in November a 37 per cent fall in national races over the past 20 years, and a 40 per cent decrease in horses raced, with purses down 25 per cent.

The US has lost 55 per cent of its trainers, with just 114 “super trainers” (training 80 horses or more) capturing 41 per cent of winnings in 2022. Researchers say it is “hard to win, hard to profit and hard to compete”.

Even in the United Kingdom, where horse racing remains the second most-attended sport, attendance fell by over 500,000 between 2015 and 2019. The Racecourse Association says that from a peak of 6.13 million, attendance has fallen below 5 million in 2022. In many parts of the world, the fascination with horse racing has simply faded.

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Gone are the days of my father, who would spend every Saturday afternoon in front of the TV, flipping channels to discover if any of his horse bets had made him rich. He never won, but that never dulled his enthusiasm.

Fascination has dimmed in part because there are nowadays so many other ways to lose money gambling. It has simply never captured the imagination of our youngsters. In Macau, for instance, horse race betting last year amounted to 140 million patacas, against casino gaming revenue of 183 billion patacas.

But there are other reasons too. For many, horse racing is unacceptably cruel. People dislike the way jockeys use whips. They are appalled by the injuries. The US Jockey Club says over 7,000 horses have died at race tracks since 2009.

In the UK, 62 horses have been killed since 2000 in the epic steeplechase, the Grand National. They dislike the regular horse doping scandals. And they dislike the gambling addictions, which often aggravate hardship among some of the poorest families in the world’s poorest communities.

The Grand National Steeplechase on the final day of the Grand National Festival horse race meeting at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool, northwest England, on April 15 last year. Photo: AFP

And a final challenge is the sheer expense of driving the horse racing industry. It requires the massive commitment of huge amounts of expensive real estate. Many of the world’s leading racecourses have fallen victim to real estate pressures – remember the original Selangor Turf Club racetrack at the heart of Kuala Lumpur, closed in 1992 after almost 100 years to make way for the Petronas Twin Towers?

The cost of keeping racing thoroughbreds in top form has also become prohibitively expensive. The Thoroughbred Daily News in the US says a horse needs winnings of US$66,500 a year if its owner is to break even, meaning just 11 per cent did in 2022.

With glaring evidence worldwide of a sector in stress, one wonders how the Hong Kong Jockey Club remains in such robust health – in spite of three terrible pandemic years. Over the past 10 years, betting turnover has doubled to HK$306 billion (US$39 billion), betting duties are up from HK$17.2 billion to HK$27.1 billion, charity donations have leapt from HK$1.95 billion to HK$7.3 billion, with prize money at a record HK$1.73 billion.

The answer? Decades of absolutely astonishing agility and diversification. Today, the Jockey Club earns more from bets on soccer (over HK$156 billion) than horses (HK$140 billion). Because 90 per cent of bets are placed on digital platforms, it has not relied on physical attendance at Happy Valley or Sha Tin for many years.

Crowds at the Sha Tin Racecourse as retiring jockey Douglas Whyte bids farewell to racing fans on February 10, 2019. Photo: Kenneth Chan

Policies of “commingling” – combining our local betting pools with foreign ones to create a larger international pool – and creating a “World Pool” betting network, combined with seamless online “simulcasting” of top races around the world, have generated revenues far beyond the reach of Hong Kong’s nearly 7.5 million population.

Attracting into Hong Kong some of the world’s top thoroughbreds, like Golden Sixty and Romantic Warrior, has also helped to retain the glamour lost to horse racing in many parts of the world.
In short, if Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po seriously wants to contradict Hong Kong’s naysayers, and demonstrate our world-leading innovative capabilities, he could do worse than invite them to the races. Many in the past have said that no one has bet against Hong Kong and won. One only needs to look at the Jockey Club to realise why.

David Dodwell is CEO of the trade policy and international relations consultancy Strategic Access, focused on developments and challenges facing the Asia-Pacific over the past four decades

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